CEPA? CECA? ECFA? Horse government cross-strait economic bubble lies Protocol IV, V, VI

(Source: "Policy Council" blog)

by policy

Horse government to create the urgency and necessity of

In fact, an "ASEAN-plus-one", "ASEAN plus three" to harm our country and never claimed by the Government such as the horse so much. So really no need for cross-strait economic protocol signed at the expense of major national benefits.

According to Chung Hua Institution for Economic Research report (顾莹Wah, 2005), Taiwan's real GDP at an "ASEAN-plus-one" after the formation of only 0.151 percent decline, if the "ASEAN plus three" is the decline 0.707%; and this or assumed that the Government has nothing to do under the situation. As the resulting number of unemployed people, it is inaccurate to exaggerate the lack of a reasonable inference foundation, it was trying to intimidate the people.

In addition, and China signed economic cooperation agreements, does not mean that Taiwan's entry into the "ASEAN plus one" or "ASEAN plus three." And China signed a CECA only allow certain products of China's duty-free access to China, exports to other East Asian countries still need to satisfy a higher tariff, in other words, we not only lack of market in other countries, but more deeply dependent on China. Therefore, even if the ASEAN-plus-one or three of us pose a threat, our response should be and do not disrupt the Chinese to negotiate Taiwan's entry into the ASEAN plus three, not only to deepen and China signed economic cooperation agreements dependence.

In fact, China has yet to make any future non-exclusion of China and his country's commitment to sign FTA, and China only CECA signed or give Chinese ECFA is higher than that of other countries, opening up, and concessions, and we are also in other countries being excluded and only to China's development, the results are more dependent on China.

Taiwan and other countries not to sign FTA reasons, as we all know is because the Chinese deliberately to isolate us, but by no means is that we do not first and China signed economic agreements. Shape the horse first and the Chinese government signed an agreement can and other exchanges between the illusion of a normal country, it is the practice of deceiving the people.

Taiwan should do is to demand that China open first we promise not to crowd out, let us add an "ASEAN plus N", and and other major country to talk about FTA, when these promises are kept, and then simultaneously entered into economic agreements with China, only not in China's trap.

In fact just the opposite of cross-strait economic protocol signed will result in the relocation of a large number of industries and unemployment.

If Taiwan and China signed economic cooperation agreements to further open up the technical, personnel, capital, labor, free movement of merchandise, etc., not only Chinese workers will be squeezed directly into their own employment opportunities, but also to allow more convenience for Taiwan businessmen Chinese factories. At that time Taiwan was not only put the entire production line to China, but also the products back to Taiwan and the local enterprises to do low-price competition, resulting in more local businesses to close the factory closed, the impact of domestic industry to survive, so that more of Taiwan labor and rice bowls, the problem of unemployment caused by the deterioration of the domestic circle.

According to economics, international factor price equalization theorem, when a very close between the two countries, the two factors of production prices will pull more close. Before the close exchanges between China and the United States, so pull up wages, and now if and low-wage Chinese closely contacts, wages will continue will be pulled.